It was difficult to comprehend and accept, but I've slowly had to accept the realization that poker is just a stupid silly game with an absurd amount of variance. I used to be a so-called rigtard over crap like this that happened all too often online.Īnd then Black Friday happened, and I was forced to play all my poker live instead of online.Īnd guess what? The 'rigged' BS didn't stop, in fact it might have even gotten worse. Don't ask me to get into standard deviations and bell curves and all that good stuff, I try to stick to the simple math. Quite honestly, compared to a lot of online grinders, this is still considered a small number of hand or a 'small sample size'. We also know seeing KK 85 times means this player has played approximately 85*221 hands total, or roughly 18,750 hands.
So 85 KK hands should theoretically have faced off against AA approximately three to four times (85/25=3.4), not six. (1-in-27) if you're playing 9-handed.Ĭlose enough tho, 1-in-25. Since the odds of a player being dealt a specific pocket pair is 1-in-221, and since we know YOU don't have AA, the odds another player does would be 9*(1/221) = 4% (or 1-in 25) at a ten-handed table and 8*(1/221) = 3.6%. I read that if you have KK you will be faced against pocket aces about 1/25 times in a full 9 handed game.
